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During 2007 downstream players had been under unprecedented pressure brought by
the extremely turbulent acrylonitrile values in China market, since the bullish
soaring in Jun till Nov when the market finally retraced back to its original place,
while Asian acrylonitrile market aggressively pushed all the way through the year,
laying a sound foundation for the market and ensured cost support for its downstream
chain in the new year. Given the growing dynamic in acrylonitrile trading, unstable
operation of acrylic fiber producers, as well as the fast expanding capacity of
downstream ABS and AM/PAM, the acrylonitrile market trend in 2008 is still a subject
that deserves high attention.
Reviewing the acrylic fiber market in 2007, except for the short-lived gaining seen
in Jun, market saw constantly shrinking demand under the impact from polyester,
viscose and cotton sectors. At the end of the year, operating rate was cut down
to 50% but could not reverse the downward trend. It is already predictable that
Chinese acrylic yarn capacity still cannot achieve a full play in 2008. At which
operation rate will demand-supply balance of acrylic fiber market recover to a sound
situation, is also a key problems for players to look into.
The application of acrylic fiber in carbon fiber territory will remain as a hot
topic in 2008, as many producers are to look for opportunities in new territories
after experienced the shrinking demand from textile sector in 2007. Having went
through a one-year research, how far has Chinese carbon fiber technology gone in
its development?
On the other hand, the quick expanding in downstream sectors including ABS and AM/PAM
had somewhat made up for the demand loss caused by low operating rate of acrylic
fiber producers. What a role will they play in 2008?
In 2007, national policies, including tightened currency policy, lower export rebate
rate and processing trade restriction, played a significant role, bringing the market
great influence. Will these factors have their influence continued into 2008?
To answer these wildly concerned questions, traders, producers and downstream customers
need an opportunity to exchange ideas. With experiences gained from the success
of previous four forums, China Chemical Fiber Economic Information Network (CCFEI)
and PCI Acrylonitrile Ltd are to hold 5th China International Acrylonitrile & Acrylic
Fiber Forum (2008).
In 5th China International Acrylonitrile & Acrylic Fiber Forum, officials from relevant
state departments and associations will be invited to give speeches concerning export
perspective, market operation and development. Professional analysts from CCFEI
and PCI, as well as senior officials from famed enterprises including Jilin Qifeng,
Acrylic Fiber Sales Company of Sinopec, Asahi Kasei and Acrylonitrile Plant of Jilin
Chemical Group, etc., will also give speeches.
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